來(lái)源:路透社

在其成員匯報(bào)了2013年初以來(lái)第一次出口訂單減少的情況下，英國(guó)主要制造業(yè)行業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)在周一調(diào)低了其2014年增長(zhǎng)目標(biāo)預(yù)測(cè)。
英國(guó)工程雇主聯(lián)合會(huì)(EEF)表示,協(xié)會(huì)成員的季度調(diào)查顯示,在過(guò)去的三個(gè)月，產(chǎn)出和新業(yè)務(wù)增長(zhǎng)量均放緩和,并將2014年產(chǎn)出預(yù)測(cè)從3.5%削減到3.3%。
但這仍將可能是行業(yè)自2009年下降超過(guò)10%，2010年產(chǎn)出反彈了4.2%之后的最快增長(zhǎng)。
但預(yù)測(cè)下調(diào)跡象表明英國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)今年下半年將放緩步伐。
協(xié)會(huì)表示,隨著歐元區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)停滯不前,英鎊走強(qiáng)和政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)增加,雖然總體經(jīng)濟(jì)情況仍然是積極樂(lè)觀的，但需求在一段時(shí)間會(huì)充滿不確定。
“我們能看到制造商在繼續(xù)招募熟練工,增加他們來(lái)年的計(jì)劃投資,英國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)仍然需要平衡增長(zhǎng),”協(xié)會(huì)的首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家霍普利說(shuō)到。
“然而,面對(duì)海外市場(chǎng)正在增加的下降風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，這可能會(huì)使未來(lái)經(jīng)濟(jì)保持強(qiáng)勁增長(zhǎng),特別是出口強(qiáng)勢(shì)增長(zhǎng)變得更具挑戰(zhàn)性。”
最新的英國(guó)制造業(yè)采購(gòu)經(jīng)理人指數(shù)已于08月30日公布，路透社走訪的經(jīng)濟(jì)分析師預(yù)計(jì)自7月至8月增長(zhǎng)略有放緩。
英國(guó)工程雇主聯(lián)合會(huì)(EEF)的調(diào)查是7月30日和8月20日之間進(jìn)行的,從298年公司取得反饋。
（翻譯來(lái)自中國(guó)進(jìn)出口網(wǎng)，轉(zhuǎn)載請(qǐng)注明出處）
(記者 Andy Bruce;編輯Tom Heneghan)


UK manufacturing growth cools as export orders slip: EEF
Workers inspect components on the fuel inlet production facility at Futaba Industrial in Foston, central England January 21, 2014.
CREDIT: REUTERS/DARREN STAPLES
(Reuters) - Britain's main manufacturing trade association trimmed its growth forecast for 2014 on Monday after its members reported the first fall in export orders since early 2013.

The EEF association said its quarterly survey of members showed slowing growth in output and new business over the last three months, and cut its forecast for factory output growth in 2014 to 3.3 percent from 3.5 percent.

This would still be the sector's fastest expansion since 2010, when output rebounded by 4.2 percent after slumping more than 10 percent in 2009.

But the forecast downgrade adds to signs that the British economy may lose some pace in the second half of this year.

The EEF said that with the euro zone economy stagnating, sterling strong and political risks on the rise, the picture for demand was now more uncertain than for some time, though the overall picture remained positive.

"We're seeing manufacturers continue to recruit for skilled jobs and increase their plans to invest in the coming year - exactly what the UK economy still needs for balanced growth," said Lee Hopley, the EEF's chief economist.

"However, there are clearly increasing downside risks overseas which could make sustaining strong growth and particularly stronger exports more challenging going forward."

The latest purchasing managers' index for Britain's manufacturing sector, a closely watched gauge of industrial activity, is due at 0830 GMT. Economists polled by Reuters expect growth slowed slightly in August from July.

The EEF survey was conducted between July 30 and Aug. 20, with responses from 298 companies.

(Reporting by Andy Bruce; Editing by Tom Heneghan)